Desired to transform the Middle East into Heaven, not Hell. 渴望把中东变成天堂，而不是地狱。

“US President-elect Donald Trump on Monday threatened those holding hostages in the Middle East with unprecedented American firepower if they are not released by the time he enters office on January 20” The Times of Israel, dated 2 December 2024. 《以色列时报》（2024年12月2日）：“美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普周一威胁称，如果在他1月20日上任之前不释放在中东被扣押的人质，美国将以前所未有的火力攻击他们。”

This statement starkly contrasts the broader perception of former President Donald Trump as someone averse to prolonged wars and military confrontations. Many believed that upon returning to office, he might prioritize ending the conflict in Ukraine and de-escalating tensions in other global hotspots. This perception was rooted in his previous administration’s policy of avoiding new wars and seeking negotiated resolutions, such as peace efforts in the Middle East through the Abraham Accords.

In contrast, President Joe Biden has been characterized by critics as favoring a more interventionist approach, with his administration seen as a driving force behind continued support for the war in Ukraine and other military entanglements. For those who viewed Trump as a peace-oriented leader, his recent statements advocating aggressive measures, such as high tariffs or confrontational policies, have been surprising and, to many, disconcerting. These remarks are perceived as incongruent with the image of a leader committed to de-escalation and diplomacy.

Such rhetoric risks undermining the expectation that Trump would champion a global strategy prioritizing peace over confrontation. It also raises questions about whether his approach, if implemented, would align with the principles of conflict resolution that many of his supporters have associated with him.

这一声明与人们普遍认为前总统唐纳德·特朗普是一个反对长期战争和军事对抗的人形成鲜明对比。许多人认为，一旦重新上台，他可能会优先考虑结束乌克兰冲突，并缓和其他全球热点地区的紧张局势。这种看法植根于他上届政府的政策，即避免新的战争，寻求通过谈判解决问题，例如通过《亚伯拉罕协议》（Abraham Accords）为中东地区的和平努力。

相比之下，批评人士认为，美国总统乔·拜登（Joe Biden）更倾向于采取干涉主义的方式，认为美国是继续支持乌克兰战争和其他军事纠纷的幕后推手。对于那些认为特朗普是一位以和平为导向的领导人的人来说，他最近发表的主张采取高关税或对抗性政策等激进措施的言论令人惊讶，而且令许多人感到不安。这些言论被认为与致力于缓和紧张局势和外交的领导人的形象不一致。

这样的言论破坏了特朗普将支持优先考虑和平而不是对抗的全球战略的预期。这也让人质疑，如果他的方法得以实施，是否会符合他的许多支持者所认同的冲突解决原则。

Gaza: A Humanitarian Catastrophe 加沙：人道主义灾难

The Gaza Strip continues to endure devastating consequences from the ongoing conflict, which began in October 2023. The toll on human lives, infrastructure, and essential services is immense, plunging the territory into an unprecedented humanitarian crisis.

Casualties and Displacement

As of early December 2024, more than 25,700 Palestinians have lost their lives, including a significant number of women and children. Over 63,700 have been injured, with thousands left permanently disabled. Nearly 1.9 million people, representing more than 85% of Gaza’s population, have been displaced. Many families have been displaced multiple times, taking refuge in overcrowded UNRWA shelters

Infrastructure Devastation

The destruction in Gaza is staggering. Schools, hospitals, power plants, and water treatment facilities have been systematically targeted, crippling basic services. At least 155 UNRWA facilities have sustained damage, with some repurposed for military activities. The World Bank estimates billions in infrastructure damage, leaving the majority of Gaza’s homes uninhabitable. Power cuts have reached critical levels, exacerbating the already dire health and sanitation crisis

Humanitarian Crisis

Access to food, clean water, and medical supplies has become almost impossible. Fuel shortages have halted emergency medical responses, and essential healthcare facilities have been rendered non-functional. UNRWA reports that only a fraction of Gaza’s health centers remain operational, struggling to cater to thousands of patients daily

International Response and Criticism

The United Nations and global human rights organizations have repeatedly condemned the disproportionate use of force and termed it a violation of international law. UN Secretary-General António Guterres described the siege as a humanitarian “abyss,” urging immediate ceasefire and humanitarian aid access. Many global leaders and civil society groups have likened the situation to a modern genocide, drawing parallels with historical atrocities.

Role of International Powers

Criticism of the Biden administration’s unequivocal support for Israel has been mounting, with accusations of complicity in enabling war crimes. By providing military aid and vetoing resolutions for ceasefires, the U.S. has faced growing backlash from global humanitarian organizations and its citizens advocating for justice in Palestine

Resolving the Gaza Crisis

Background and Context

The Gaza crisis remains one of the most pressing and prolonged conflicts in modern history. The recent escalation, triggered by the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, has drawn attention to the deep-rooted historical grievances stemming from over seven decades of Israeli occupation and policies deemed oppressive by international standards. Hamas’s actions, while controversial, can be interpreted as a response to decades of perceived injustices, including settlement expansion, blockades, and systemic human rights violations.

Historical Perspective

Israel’s statehood, recognized by the UN in 1948 within specific borders, was intended as part of a two-state solution. However, the subsequent wars and occupation of Arab territories—including the West Bank, Gaza, East Jerusalem, and the Golan Heights—violate the UN Charter and numerous international resolutions. The displacement of Palestinians, destruction of homes, and ongoing settlement activities in occupied territories have perpetuated a cycle of violence and despair.

Proposed Solutions

To resolve the Gaza crisis and establish lasting peace, the following recommendations are made:

Ceasefire and De-escalation

Israel must immediately halt airstrikes and military operations in Gaza. Both parties must commit to a sustainable ceasefire under international supervision.

Withdrawal to 1948 Borders

Israel must withdraw its forces from all occupied Arab lands, adhering to the boundaries defined by the 1948 UN resolution. This step is essential for restoring Palestinian sovereignty.

Sovereign Palestinian State

A sovereign Palestinian state should be established, encompassing all territories illegally occupied post-1948. Jerusalem should be recognized as its capital, reflecting its significance to Palestinians and the broader Arab and Muslim worlds.

Accountability and Justice

Israeli leadership must be held accountable for alleged war crimes and acts of genocide in Gaza. International mechanisms like the International Criminal Court (ICC) and International Court of Justice (ICJ) must ensure impartial trials and enforce rulings.

Compensation for Reconstruction

Israel must provide reparations for the extensive destruction in Gaza. These funds should be directed toward rebuilding homes, schools, hospitals, and essential infrastructure.

Deployment of UN Peacekeeping Troops

To ensure stability and security, UN peacekeeping forces should be deployed in Palestine. Their presence would facilitate rebuilding efforts and safeguard against further aggression.

Role of the Muslim World

Oil-rich Muslim nations, particularly those in the Gulf, should lead reconstruction efforts in Palestine. Their financial and political support would accelerate recovery and foster regional solidarity.

Mutual Recognition and Coexistence

Both Israel and Palestine must recognize each other’s right to exist and commit to peaceful coexistence. Diplomatic initiatives should focus on fostering trust, mutual respect, and interdependence.

Vision for the Middle East

The Middle East should be a beacon of peace and cooperation, transcending historical animosities. A resolution to the Gaza crisis would not only uplift millions of Palestinians but also transform the region into a hub of economic, cultural, and political collaboration.

Conclusion

The Gaza crisis underscores the urgent need for justice, accountability, and an equitable resolution. Implementing these recommendations would honor the principles of international law and human rights, offering hope for a brighter future in the Middle East. Both Israel and Palestine must rise above conflict and embrace the possibility of a shared destiny rooted in peace and prosperity.

加沙地带继续遭受从2023年10月开始的持续冲突造成的毁灭性后果。对生命、基础设施和基本服务造成巨大损失，使该领土陷入前所未有的人道主义危机。

伤亡和流离失所

截至2024年12月初，已有超过25,700名巴勒斯坦人丧生，其中包括大量妇女和儿童。超过63,700人受伤，数千人终身残疾。近190万人流离失所，占加沙人口的85%以上。许多家庭多次流离失所，在人满为患的近东救济工程处避难所避难

基础设施的破坏

加沙的破坏是惊人的。学校、医院、发电厂和水处理设施成为有系统的袭击目标，导致基本服务瘫痪。至少有155个近东救济工程处设施遭到破坏，其中一些被改用于军事活动。世界银行估计有数十亿美元的基础设施受损，使加沙的大部分房屋无法居住。停电已经达到临界水平，加剧了本已严峻的健康和卫生危机

人道主义危机

获得食物、清洁水和医疗用品几乎是不可能的。燃料短缺导致紧急医疗反应停止，基本保健设施无法运转。近东救济工程处报告说，加沙只有一小部分保健中心仍在运作，每天要为成千上万的病人提供服务

国际反应与批评

联合国和全球人权组织一再谴责这种过度使用武力的行为，称其违反国际法。联合国秘书长António古特雷斯称围困是人道主义的“深渊”，敦促立即停火并提供人道主义援助。许多全球领导人和民间社会团体将这种情况比作现代种族灭绝，并将其与历史上的暴行相提并论。

国际大国的作用

对拜登政府毫不含糊地支持以色列的批评越来越多，有人指责拜登政府共谋促成了战争罪行。通过提供军事援助和否决停火决议，美国面临着来自全球人道主义组织和倡导巴勒斯坦正义的美国公民日益强烈的反对

解决加沙危机

背景与背景

加沙危机仍然是现代历史上最紧迫和最持久的冲突之一。最近由哈马斯于2023年10月7日发动的袭击引发的冲突升级，让人们注意到以色列70多年的占领和以国际标准衡量的压迫政策所引发的根深蒂固的历史不满。哈马斯的行动虽然有争议，但可以被解释为对几十年来人们认为的不公正的回应，包括定居点扩张、封锁和系统性侵犯人权。

历史的角度

1948年，联合国承认以色列在特定边界内的国家地位，这是两国解决方案的一部分。然而，随后的战争和对阿拉伯领土的占领——包括约旦河西岸、加沙、东耶路撒冷和戈兰高地——违反了《联合国宪章》和许多国际决议。巴勒斯坦人流离失所、房屋被毁以及在被占领土上正在进行的定居活动使暴力和绝望的循环永久化。

提出解决方案

为解决加沙危机和建立持久和平，兹提出下列建议：

停火和缓和局势

以色列必须立即停止在加沙的空袭和军事行动。双方必须承诺在国际监督下实现可持续停火。

撤回至1948年边界

以色列必须按照1948年联合国决议划定的边界，从所有被占领的阿拉伯土地上撤军。这一步骤对恢复巴勒斯坦主权至关重要。

主权巴勒斯坦国

应该建立一个主权巴勒斯坦国，包括1948年后非法占领的所有领土。耶路撒冷应该被承认为其首都，以反映其对巴勒斯坦人以及更广泛的阿拉伯和穆斯林世界的重要性。

问责和司法

以色列领导人必须对所谓的战争罪行和在加沙的种族灭绝行为负责。国际刑事法院（ICC）和国际法院（ICJ）等国际机制必须确保公正审判和执行裁决。

重建补偿

以色列必须为在加沙的大规模破坏提供赔偿。这些资金应用于重建住房、学校、医院和必要的基础设施。

部署联合国维和部队

为维护巴勒斯坦稳定与安全，应在巴部署联合国维和部队。他们的存在将促进重建努力和防止进一步侵略。

穆斯林世界的角色

石油资源丰富的穆斯林国家，特别是海湾国家，应该领导巴勒斯坦的重建工作。它们的财政和政治支持将加速复苏并促进区域团结。

互认共存

以色列和巴勒斯坦都必须承认彼此的生存权，并致力于和平共处。外交应以增进互信、相互尊重、相互依存为核心。

中东远景

中东应超越历史积怨，成为和平合作的灯塔。加沙危机的解决不仅将使数百万巴勒斯坦人振奋，而且还将使该地区成为经济、文化和政治合作的中心。

结论

加沙危机凸显了正义、问责和公平解决的迫切需要。执行这些建议将尊重国际法和人权原则，为中东更光明的未来带来希望。以色列和巴勒斯坦都必须超越冲突，拥抱在和平与繁荣基础上实现共同命运的可能性。